Articles  Shaver, A. & Shapiro, J. "The Effect of Civilian Casualties on Wartime Informing: Evidence from Iraq." Journal of Conflict Resolution. (forthcoming).  Shaver, A., Carter, D. & Shawa, T. "Terrain ruggedness and land cover: Improved data for most research designs." Conflict Management and Peace Science (2016).  Centeno, M., Nag, M., Paterson, T., Shaver, A. & Windawi, J. "The Emergence of Global Systemic Risk." Annual Review of Sociology, (2015).  Bollfrass, A. & Shaver, A. "The Effects of Temperature on Political Violence: Global Evidence at the Subnational Level." PLOS ONE (2015). Manuscripts Under Revision  Condra, L., Long, J., Shaver, A. & Wright, A. "The Strategic Logic Of Insurgent Electoral Violence." Revise and Resubmit at American Economic Review.  Carter, D., Shaver, A. & Wright, A. "Places to Hide: Terrain, Ethnicity, and Political Violence." Revise and Resubmit at Journal of Politics.  Shaver, A. & Bollfrass, A. "Affective Motivations for Violence in Insurgent Warfare." Revise and Resubmit at International Organization.  Shaver, A. & Zhou, YY. "Do Refugees Spread or Reduce Conflict?" Decline But Revise and Resubmit at Journal of Politics.  Shaver, A. "Information and Communication Technologies, Wartime Informing, and Consequences for Substate Conflict." Revise and Resubmit at International Studies Quarterly. (Also, Households in Conflict Network Working Paper #215.).  Shaver, A. & Wright, A. "Are Modern Insurgencies Predictable? New Evidence from Afghanistan and Iraq." Revise and Resubmit at PLOS ONE. Manuscripts Under Review:  Shaver, A. "Employment Status and Support for Wartime Violence: Evidence from a Baghdad Survey." Empirical Studies of Conflict Project Working Paper #1.  Shaver, A. & Wright, A. "Data on Combatant Activity During Afghanistan War Advance Scientific Investigation of Insurgency." (Invited to submit manuscript to Nature Human Behavior following presubmission enquiry.)  Trebbi, F., Weese, E., Wright, A. & Shaver, A. "Insurgent Learning." National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper w23475.  Wright, A., Condra, L., Shapiro, J., & Shaver, A. “Civilian Abuse and Wartime Informing. Book Chapters  Shaver, A. "How Defense Department Spending Was Used to Resuscitate Local Business: A Select History of Civilian-Military Engagement in Iraq." Unity of Mission: Civilian-Military Teams in War and Peace. Maxwell AFB AL: Air University Press, (2015). Works in Progress (in order of completeness)  Shaver, A. & Tenorio, G. "Public Goods Provision, Civilian Informing, and Insurgent Violence: Evidence from the Iraq War."  Shaver, A. "Can Countries Buy Their Way Out of Insurgencies? Evidence From Iraq."  Shaver, A. "The Effects of Violence Exposure on Parochialism During Conflict."  de Mesquita, EB., Price, C. & Shaver, A. "Learning by Doing During Counterinsurgency."  Klor, E., Shapiro, J. & Shaver, A. "Exposure to Wartime Violence and Public Expectations: Evidence from the Iraq War."