ilundberg [at] princeton.edu
Ph.D. Student, Sociology and Social Policy
Forthcoming in Demography, with Alexandra Killewald [paper] [replication materials]
Does getting or staying married cause men to earn more per hour? Economists have long argued that marriage should increase men's productivity through specialization, as they develop human capital in the workplace while their wives focus on home production. Sociologists have likewise argued that marriage might motivate men to work harder and thus earn more. Against each of these perspectives, Alexandra Killewald and I argue that marriage has no causal effect on men's hourly wages. Using panel data, we reproduce recent literature showing that hourly wages grow prior to marriage and decline prior to divorce - a nuance missed by fixed-effects models that focus on intercept shifts alone. We then adjudicate between theories of the sources of these trajectories by exploring their empirical predictions for different subgroups. If premarital wage growth is attributable to causal anticipation of marriage, then it should be smaller among men for whom marriage may be less planned: those whose marriage is followed quickly by a birth. However, we find similar premarital wage growth in both groups. Further, men who marry at older ages experience no unusual wage growth prior to marriage. We argue that individuals mature at heterogeneous times, and these heterogeneous latent maturation processes cause both marriage and wage growth.
How prevalent is housing eviction among urban American children? (working paper, with Louis Donnelly) Ethnographic research suggests that housing eviction has become a common experience among urban renters, particularly those with children. With Louis Donnelly, I use 5 waves of panel data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study to estimate the proportion of urban American children born in 1998-2000 who experience an eviction by age 15. Because eviction is an outcome in the Fragile Families Challenge, we will not make results available until the Challenge closes in late spring 2017.
My teaching experience is in a statistics course aimed at Ph.D. students in sociology.
I precepted Soc 500 in Fall 2016 and am currently precepting Soc 504 in Spring 2017, both under Professor Brandon Stewart at Princeton University. I led a 2-hour section reviewing materials from the course every other week. (link to sample slides)
I currently work most closely with Sara McLanahan, Brandon Stewart, and Matthew Salganik. In college, I collaborated with Alexandra Killewald and was also advised by Christopher Winship. Any of them can serve as references.
My CV is available here.