Publications

PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLES

Theorizing Cyber Coercion: The 2014 North Korean Operation against Sony. Journal of Strategic Studies (2017).

Process Peace: A New Evaluation Framework for Track II Diplomacy. International Negotiation 22:1 (2017): 92–122. With Nate Allen.

Over-Promising and Under-Delivering? Ambitions and Risks in US Defence Strategy. International Affairs 88:5 (September 2012): 975–991.

U.S. Defense Acquisition Workforce since the Cold War. Defense & Security Analysis 26:1 (March 2010): 81–98.

Resource Conflict in the Twenty-First Century. Peace Review 19:3 (Fall 2007): 323–330.

The African Resistance Movement. Peace Review 17:4 (Fall 2005): 455–462.

WORKS IN PROGRESS

Sources Cited Analysis: Applications to Interview Evidence and Beyond (for APSA 2017).

Wars and Presidents: Cycles in U.S. Defense Spending.

Great Power Rivals, Mismatched Motives, and Military Engagement Outcomes: The U.S. and Soviet Armies in Europe and Korea, 1945-1947.

From Deterrence to Socialization: RIMPAC and U.S. Rivals, 1971-2014.

SELECTED POLICY ARTICLES & REPORTS

Gambling with Ground Forces: 2015 Defense Budget and 2014 QDR. Center for a New American Security (March 2014).

Placebo: 2014 Budget and DOD’s Credibility Challenges. Center for a New American Security (April 2013).

Sustainable Pre-eminence: Reforming the U.S. Military at a Time of Strategic Change. Center for a New American Security (May 2012). With David Barno, Nora Bensahel, and Matt Irvine.

Pivot but Hedge: A Strategy for Pivoting to Asia While Hedging in the Middle East. Orbis 56:2 (Spring 2012): 158–176. With David Barno and Nora Bensahel.

Down Payment: Defense Guidance, 2013 Defense Budget and the Risks of Sequestration. Center for a New American Security (February 2012).

Hard Choices: Responsible Defense in an Age of Austerity. Center for a New American Security (October 2011). With David Barno and Nora Bensahel.

America’s Cyber Future: Security and Prosperity in the Information Age. Center for a New American Security (May 2011). With Kristin Lord.

The Sacrifice Ahead: The 2012 Defense Budget. Center for a New American Security (February 2011). 

Operational for What? The Future of the Guard and Reserves. Joint Force Quarterly 59 (4th Quarter 2010): 21–29. With John Nagl.

An Indispensable Force: Investing in America’s National Guard and Reserves. Center for a New American Security (September 2010). With John Nagl. 

Vision Meets Reality: 2010 QDR and 2011 Defense Budget. Center for a New American Security (February 2010).

Tying U.S. Defense Spending to GDP: Bad Logic, Bad Policy. Parameters: U.S. Army War College Quarterly 38:3 (Autumn 2008): 5–17.

SELECTED COMMENTARIES

On Cyber Coercion: Lessons from the Sony Hack That We Should Have Learned, But Didn't. War on the Rocks (June 1, 2017).

Romney’s Proposed $2 Trillion Defense Increase. ForeignPolicy.com (October 8, 2012).

SOF Power. ForeignPolicy.com (February 14, 2012). With David Barno.

How to Cut the Defense Budget Responsibly. ForeignAffairs.com (November 2, 2011). With David Barno and Nora Bensahel.

Nuclear Deterrent Still Key. Washington Times (April 9, 2010).

Local Priorities vs. National Interests in Arms Control. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Online (August 28, 2009).

Budget Dumps Iraq War in Next Administration’s Lap. Politico (February 6, 2008).