Policy Pieces

The Military Cost of Civilian War Casualties, with Andrew Shaver, Foreign Affairs, August 22 2017.

The Role of Election Competition in Strengthening Pakistan's Fledgling Local Democracy, with Asad Liaqat, Michael Callen, Ali Cheema, Adnan Khan, and Mudammad Farooq Naseer, International Growth Centre, March 16 2017.

The Flawed Logic of Trump's Executive Order How Not to Fight Terrorism, Foreign Affairs, January 30 2017.

How We Can Kill Terrorism With KindnessTime, January 5 2017.

Political Violence in Post-9/11 Wars, Peace Science Digest, Vol. 1, Issue 6 (January 2017) Summary of the article from Peace Science Digest.

A Predictable Failure: The Political Economy of the Decline of the Islamic State, CTC Sentinel, September 2016.

The Problem With Vows to Defeat the Islamic State, with Stephen Biddle, The Atlantic, August 21, 2016.

A Military Guide to Accessing Research on Fragile States, with Caitlin Tulloch, War on the Rocks, June 22, 2016.

America Can't Do Much About ISIS, with Stephen Biddle, The Atlantic, April 20, 2016.

Islamic State's New Strategy is Suicidal, with Eli Berman, December 2, 2015.

Here's why we can only contain the Islamic State, not bomb it back to the Stone Age, with Stephen Biddle, The Washington Post, December 1, 2015.

Why ISIL Will Fail on Its Own, with Eli Berman, Politico Magazine, November 29, 2015.

Connecting the red corridor, Infrastructure development in conflict zones, with Shapiro et al, International Growth Centre, June 2015.

The Super Smart Way to Dismantle ISIS, with Eli Berman and Joseph H. Felter, The National Interest, February 27, 2015.

Aid for Peace: Does Money Buy Hearts and Minds?, with Eli Berman and Joseph H. Felter, Foreign Affairs, January 21, 2015.

The terrorist bureaucracy: Inside the files of the Islamic State in Iraq, with Danielle F. Jung, The Boston Globe, December 14, 2014.

108 Terrorist Memoirs, AnalyzedThe Boston Globe, January 19, 2014.

The Business Habits of Highly Effective TerroristsForeign Affairs, August 2013.

Why assume the Taliban will always be so violent?Financial Times, August 13, 2013.

Effective Aid in Conflict Zones, with Eli Berman, Joseph H. Felter, and Erin Toland, Vox, May 26, 2013.

Political Violence in Pakistan: Myths versus Realities, with Rasul Baksh Rais, International Growth Centre Policy Brief, April 2012.

Pakistan's Middle Class Extremists, Foreign Affairs, July 11, 2011.

Constructive COIN: How Development Can Fight Radicals, with Eli Berman and Joseph H. Felter, Foreign Affairs, June 1, 2010.

Strictly Confidential, Why Professors and Analysts are Our Best Secret Weapon, Foreign Policy, October 13, 2009.