Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability


Iaryczower, Matias, Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma, and Adam Meirowitz. “Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability,” Working Paper.
careerdynamics.pdf929 KB


While elections can discipline elected politicians, the power of electoral accountability varies depending on the characteristics of each politician and on the state of the electoral race. To quantify this relationship we use data on US senators who ran for office between 2000-2012 to structurally estimate a (dynamic) model of the problem of an incumbent politician running for reelection. We quantify the value that each senator gives to office relative to ideology, and provide ideal point estimates that incorporate strategic position-taking. We also provide individual and aggregate measures of electoral accountability as a function of the competitiveness of the election, and evaluate how advertising affects electoral accountability.

Last updated on 12/27/2017